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2024
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March (2)
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Reporting Season Review: February 2024
Morgans Best Ideas: March 2024
February (9)
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Wait a minute! Are the RBA Cutting Rates Soon?
Best calls to action – Monday, 26 February 2024
Best calls to action – Friday, 23 February 2024
Best calls to action – Thursday, 22 February 2024
Best calls to action – Wednesday, 21 February 2024
Best calls to action – Tuesday, 20 February 2024
Is it the Season to be Bullish?
Morgans Best Ideas: February 2024
FED - Quantitative Tightening with a Rate Cut Chaser?
January (4)
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Our Model for the US Economy is Working!
Reporting Season Playbook: February 2024
Australian Retail Sales: November 2023 - Black Friday delivers for retailers
Financial Services: Mark-to-market and sector earnings changes
2023
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December (9)
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Consumer Discretionary: End of year model updates
The FED Says Everything Is “Just Right!”
A Better Outlook For 2024?
Aurizon Holdings: Solid growth but captured in the share price
Telco - Integrated: Telco sector update
Australia Strategy: Summer 2024 - Equity sector strategies
Australia Strategy: Asset Allocation Update – 2024 Outlook
Morgans Best Ideas: December 2023
Australian CPI Suggests Another RBA Rate Hike
November (23)
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Big Budget Deficits, Bigger US Debt!
Medibank: AGM and APRA statistics
Webjet: COVID well and truly in the rear-view mirror
Technology One: Supercharging ARR
Brickworks: Long-term value, short-term headwinds
GrainCorp: What to do with all this cash?
Nufarm: Resilient performance
ALS: Resilience sets up a bright future
Commonwealth Bank: Q1 report card
Ramsay Health Care: Activity up; Asian JV sold; going digital for the future
Upside Inflationary Surprises likely for the RBA!
ANZ Banking Group: Earnings decline larger than expected, lower franking
Elders: Can the controllables outweigh the uncontrollables?
REA Group: Volumes volatile but trending in the right direction
National Australia Bank: Mgmt. optimistic that competitive pressures will ease
Orica: Finally delivers the cash
Xero: Less about subs and more about profit & ARPU growth
Treasury Wine Estates: Now no. 1 in the US luxury wine market
Melbourne Cup Strategy 2023
Macquarie Group: Finally coming off the crest of a wave
Morgans Best Ideas: November 2023
Inghams: Back on track
Camplify Holdings: Setting up for a solid summer
October (28)
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Australian Retail Sales: September 2023 - Hot Spring
ResMed: Inc 1Q in line - cost base reset; mkt dynamics unchanged
Reliance Worldwide: EMEA outlook is the most uncertain
2023 Morgans QLD Conference: Key picks and highlights
Coles Group: Looking better value
Megaport Limited: It’s all tracking in line with the grand plan
Woolworths: On track but still more to do
HUB24: Discovering new market segments
Rio Tinto: Productivity program yielding results
Newcrest Mining: Game over
CSL Ltd: Targeting sustainable, profitable growth
Oil & Gas: Oil volatility picks up
Insurance Australia Group: AGM update
Qantas Airways: Near-term turbulence
Eagers Automotive: Victoria scaled up
Origin Energy: The ball is back in the buyer’s court
Discretionary Retail: AGM preview - Sales momentum stalling, but value exists for the patient investor
Iron Ore: Solid outlook beyond possible late year dip
Australia Strategy: Catalyst season
Mining – lithium pure plays: Key producers being weighed down by weaker prices
Australia Strategy: Spring 2023 - Equity sector strategies
Computershare: Completing a key plank of the business rationalisation
Cash rate steady at 4.10%
Asset Allocation Update – 2023 Q4 Outlook
Morgans Best Ideas: October 2023
Atlas Arteria: Updating for the new French tax impost
WH Soul Pattinson & Co: A ‘structured’ approach to FY24
Discretionary Retail: Who is giving customers what they want?
September (9)
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Brickworks: Business positioned to navigate a softer FY24
Nufarm: Outperforming peers but headwinds remain
Australian Retail Sales: August 2023 - Treading water
Pro Medicus: Monsters Inc
Allkem: Growth upside outweighs the risks
IT Services: Tech results season wrap
Consumer Discretionary: Reporting Season Wrap
Oil Prices Still Further To Rise!
Morgans Best Ideas: September 2023
August (92)
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Best calls to action – Thursday, 31 August 2023
Superloop: High quality result with positive 2H FCF & NPATA
Tourism Holdings Rentals Limited: Everything is on track
Tyro Payments: Rounding out a year of significant progress
Mineral Resources: Beats where it counts
Best calls to action – Wednesday, 30 August 2023
Fortescue Metals Group: Important questions go unanswered
Helloworld: There is so much more to come
Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure: On the search for a new skipper
NEXTDC: You don’t need AI to see this demand wave
Australian Retail Sales: July 2023 - Bouncing a little higher after a soft June
Best calls to action – Tuesday, 29 August 2023
PeopleIn: Growth continues, but at a moderated pace
Wesfarmers: Lithium is about to come online
Jumbo Interactive: FY23 result - Cost discipline is not a matter of luck
Best calls to action – Monday, 28 August 2023
Qantas Airways: The market still doesn’t believe this isn’t the top
Eagers Automotive: Structural growth under the bonnet
Universal Store Holdings: FY23 earnings - Dress appropriately
Ramsay Health Care: A slow recovery, but long-term fundamentals intact
TPG Telecom Ltd: Returning to growth
Lovisa: FY23 earnings - Launch of a global brand
The Reject Shop: FY23 earnings - Shopping for value
Whitehaven Coal: M&A conundrum continues
Best calls to action – Friday, 25 August 2023
Karoon Energy: Boom year gets underway
Santos: Growth still down the pipeline
Corporate Travel Management: On track for a full EBITDA recovery in FY24
Woolworths: Australian Food continues to shine
The Lottery Corporation: FY23 earnings - Not a Lott changes
Allkem: Solid 2H but risks to capital expenditure and pricing
Ebos Group: Solid as usual, now planning for life without CW
Domino's Pizza: FY23 earnings - Green shoots emerging
Best calls to action – Thursday, 24 August 2023
Why Commodity Prices will Bottom in March 2024
Woodside Energy: Maintains dividend despite capex jump.
BHP Group: A miner for all seasons
HUB24: Extending the confidence with FY25 targets
Monash IVF: Cycling along nicely
Megaport Limited: A bit of SaaS and a well flagged and loved upgrade
Data#3: Buy the dip
Coles Group: Juggling a lot of things at once
Nanosonics: Flexible timeline on launch
Insurance Australia Group: A much improved performance in 2H23
Best calls to action – Wednesday, 23 August 2023
Elders: Looking for a base
Westpac Banking Corp: Cost shock
NIB Holdings: A broad-based beat
Adairs: FY23 earnings - No dividend to cushion the blow
Reliance Worldwide: Still some challenges in the near term
Best calls to action – Tuesday, 22 August 2023
Hotel Property Investments: FY24 DPS ahead of pcp despite higher interest costs
Goodman Group: Higher and better use for portfolio assets protect value
Best calls to action – Monday, 21 August
PWR Holdings Limited: Setting the business up for the long term
Sonic Healthcare: Transitioning out of Covid-19
Orora: Plenty more to come
ANZ Banking Group: Q3 report card
Telstra Group: Fundamentals improving but value may stay locked-in
Origin Energy: Strong rebound in FY24 but electricity peaking
Inghams: 2H23 recovery provides confidence in the outlook
Beacon Lighting: FY23 earnings - Building blocks for long-term growth
Where is the US Recession?
Best calls to action – Friday, 18 August
Super Retail Group: FY23 earnings - Pretty special
Mining: Sharp dip uncovers value
Transurban Group: Changing of the guard
Computershare: Balance sheet position provides optionality
Endeavour Group: Returning to a stable operating environment
SEEK: Yield up, but ongoing spend to weigh on margins
CSL Ltd: Moving in the right direction
Treasury Wine Estates: Penfolds continues to outperform
National Australia Bank: Q3 trading update and regulatory capital
Carsales.com: Upshifting into FY24
Aurizon Holdings: Looking forward to a stronger FY24
JB Hi-Fi: FY23 Earnings - Undeniable Resilience
REA Group: Resilient FY23 result despite volume headwinds
Newcrest Mining: Final Act
Baby Bunting Group: Brighter horizons - FY23 earnings and upgrade to ADD
Helloworld: Highly accretive acquisition
QBE Insurance Group: A tough result, but a better outlook
Alliance Aviation Services: FIFO contract business shines
AGL Energy: Strong 2H but headwinds in the medium term
Media - Integrated: Pulse check on volumes coming into FY results
Brent Oil US $118 by March 2024?
Commonwealth Bank: Cranking up the dividend
ALS: Moderating with the outlook
Oil & Gas: Value on offer wanes in big oils
ResMed Inc: 4Q mixed - sales solid but ‘altruism’ sees softer GPM
RBA Pauses To Change Command
Credit Corp: Building a US base
Morgans Best Ideas: August 2023
July (30)
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Fortescue Metals Group: Steady result but guidance on the soft side
Mineral Resources: If you own the rock you’re God
Allkem: Big production numbers but sales were soft
FED plays tough - Next step 5.6%
Rio Tinto: Iron ore carries the group but still a near miss
South32: Big Hermosa write-down
Atlas Arteria: Q2 traffic and toll revenue reveal
Santos: All eyes on Barossa approvals
BHP Group: Getting through difficult environment
Flight Centre Travel: Get on board
Aurizon Holdings: 2023 Darwin investor day and asset tour
Rio Tinto: Mixed quarter but steadier where it counts
Woodside Energy: Growth project risk remains
HUB24: Solid flows, but a kicker needed to hit the FY24 target
Suffering through a US Soft Landing
Reporting Season Playbook: August 2023
BHP Group: Solid skew heading into results season
Alliance Aviation Services: Start of the upgrade cycle?
Consumer Discretionary: Model updates ahead of reporting season
The New RBA?
Megaport Limited: Cash burn to cash earn
Infrastructure: Model updates ahead of August reporting season
Financial Services - Overall: Mark-to-market and sector earnings changes
Auto & Parts: CY23 YTD - big June deliveries close out a varied half
A New Energy Crisis?
Australian Retail Sales: Additional data for May 2023
Suncorp Group: Reinsurance program – tough outcome but expected
Aurizon Holdings: Target achieved
Winter 2023: Equity sector strategies
Morgans Best Ideas: July 2023
June (25)
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Australian Retail Sales: May 2023 - Promotional activity holding up sales
Bega Cheese: Something has to give as this isn't sustainable
Collins Foods: FY23 result - Better margins on the menu
Sonic Healthcare: Expands Swiss footprint with bolt-on
Asset Allocation Update – 2023 Q3 Outlook
Cleanaway Waste Management: Update following June deep dive session
Pro Medicus: Recommendation update
Woodside Energy: Sanctions big oil project in southern GoM
Mineral Resources: Updates lithium while posting exploration hits
Power: Will the rising retail tariff wave crest next year?
The FED shoots for 5.6%
Insurance Australia Group: Investor Day
Domino's Pizza: Catching a falling pizza
Commodities: Still waiting on China
Discretionary Retail: Something had to give
Australian Cash Rates to Peak at 4.85%?
Ebos Group: Warehouse clearance
Mining: Short-term rally could run out of steam
Adairs: Bad Dream - The consumer slowdown hits home
Morgans Best Ideas: June 2023
Mineral Resources: Sell-off beyond lithium volatility
Tabcorp Holdings: Investor Day - How to rip off a cardigan
Hotel Property Investments: FY23 DPS upgrade
Nanosonics: Back into buying territory
PeopleIn: Strategic review see PPE stay the course
May (52)
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The FED has still more work to do!
Challenger Financial Services: Investor Day 2023
ALS: For how long can Geochem outperform?
Australian Retail Sales: April 2023 - Hanging On
Why Oil must rise over $US 100 per Barrel
Treasury Wine Estates: Great business but too much uncertainty for now
Universal Store Holdings: Fashion Victim
Eagers Automotive: Deliveries set to sail once port congestion frees up
Webjet: It just keeps getting better
Qantas Airways: All eyes on Investor Day for long-term outlook
Technology One: Taking SaaS to the next level
Nufarm: Confidence in its growth strategy builds
Xero: Showing incredible resilience in a tough market
Aristocrat Leisure: 1H23 result - Eyes on the prize
Shutdown! Recession! Default?
Super Retail Group: Investor Day - Fundamental Refit
Elders: Too much uncertainty
Aristocrat Leisure: We’ve been expecting you
Gold Sector: Gold outperforms the commodity pack
Stanmore Resources: Clear growth mandate and capability
REA Group: Listings remain subdued
QBE Insurance Group: A first quarter blip
GrainCorp: Building up the cash
Allkem: Merger news delivers unexpected boost
NEXTDC: NEXT Decade Covered
Commonwealth Bank: Model update re Q3 trading update
Tourism Holdings Rentals Limited: Sell-off is overdone, creates a great buying opportunity
Economic Strategy: Chalmers Delivers on Government Services
Equity strategy: Federal Budget 2023/24 – walking the fiscal tightrope
Federal Budget 2023: Wealth management perspective
HMC Capital: Hospitals give boost to AUM
Financial Services: Fund managers - mark to market
Westpac Banking Corp: Inflation defeats FY24 cost target
Macquarie Group: Headline result beats again
ANZ Banking Group: Capital looks solid. Institutional a differentiator
National Australia Bank: NIM up and down, strong capital position
Jumbo Interactive: You make your own luck
Credit Corp: Lending doing the lifting
Nanosonics: Recommendation change to Hold
Australian Retail Sales: March 2023 - Food for thought
HUB24: Prosperity takes time
Flight Centre Travel: Just the start of the upgrade cycle
Ramsay Health Care: Improving volumes, but productivity lags
Morgans Best Ideas: May 2023
Megaport Limited: Mega turnaround!
Computershare: Stripping it back
Woolworths: Underlying trends remain supportive
Endeavour Group: A relatively stable quarter
Banks: Previewing the half-time show
ResMed Inc: 3Q beat - Improving supply and manufacturing output
MAAS Group: MGH to buy SEQ asphalt business
Coles Group: Value becoming more important
April (6)
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Why the Oil Price Must Rise!
Rio Tinto: Is there still an appetite for acquisitions?
Who Stole My US Recession?
RBA Makes Base – Still To Conquer the Peak
Australia Strategy Autumn 2023: Equity sector strategies
Morgans Best Ideas: April 2023
March (23)
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Consumer Discretionary: Bargain Basement
Lithium: Consolidation potential dispelling the China blues
Origin Energy: Takeover to take time but we think it’s likely
Australian Retail Sales: February 2023 - Deceleration
Aristocrat Leisure: Knight of the roundtable
Australia Strategy: Asset Allocation Update – 2023 Q2 Outlook
Only One More FED Rate Hike?
How much Superannuation is enough?
New Hope Corporation: Rewards for patient investors
Australian Retail: Post-reporting season model updates
Australia Strategy: Global leaders update
Banking crisis underlines need to tread carefully from here
Coal Mining: Looking through short-term uncertainties
The Fed at War with the Budget Deficit
Financial Services: Reporting season wrap
Technology and Classifieds: February reporting wrap
The China Rebound
Discretionary Retail: Reporting Season Wrap
Reporting Season Review: February 2023
Morgans Best Ideas: March 2023
The Coming Oil Crunch
Indexation of the Transfer Balance Cap to $1.9 million from 1 July 2023
Australian Retail Sales: January 2023 - Jumpin’ Jack Flash
February (72)
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Woodside Energy: Conveying confidence on capital controls
TPG Telecom Ltd: The ship has turned
Lithium: Tight lithium market looks to continue
Best calls to action – Tuesday, 28 February
Mineral Resources: JV restructure adds real value
Atlas Arteria: In a holding pattern
Brambles: Pallets coming back
Jumbo Interactive: 1H23 earnings - Pulling the levers
Best calls to action – Monday, 27 February
Eagers Automotive: Order book continues to charge up
Qantas Airways: Still flying along
Universal Store Holdings: 1H23 Earnings - Look Sharp
Ramsay Health Care: 1H beat - despite challenges, momentum to continue
Nanosonics: Watch operating leverage build
Best calls to action – Friday, 24 February
Rio Tinto: Keeps focus on returns
Woolworths: Returning to a stable operating rhythm
Flight Centre Travel: Scale benefits should start to be seen from 2H
Lovisa: 1H23 earnings - Pedal to the metal
Domino's Pizza: 1H23 earnings - Shaken and stirred
Best calls to action – Thursday, 23 February
OZ Minerals: The end game
Peter Warren Automotive: Orderbook deceleration; acquisition acceleration
BHP Group: Inflation stings but pressure easing
SEEK: Jobs ads moderating, yield to help offset
HUB24: Cash windfall
Coles Group: Cycling COVID lockdowns
Tabcorp Holdings: 1H23 earnings - Aim high
Why Hasn't the US Recession Happened Yet?
Best calls to action – Wednesday, 22 February
HomeCo Daily Needs REIT: Remains defensive with development upside
Helloworld: Recovering faster than expected
Aurizon Holdings: Contracted re-entry
Adairs: 1H23 earnings - Supply chain reaction
Reliance Worldwide: Slimming down
Best calls to action – Tuesday, 21 February
PeopleIn: Reaffirming FY23 guidance and delivering growth
QBE Insurance Group: Good momentum heading into FY23
Origin Energy: Guidance up but intervention weighs
Best calls to action – Monday, 20 February
Data#3: Quietly confident
Super Retail Group: 1H23 earnings - Whatever you invest in, make it super
Telstra Group: Mobile won’t be silenced
Sonic Healthcare: 1H- in line- back in strong base business growth mode
Best calls to action – Friday, 17 February
Commonwealth Bank: Was 1H23 peak earnings in the cycle?
Treasury Wine Estates: Still growing strongly
Fortescue Metals Group: Shrinking margin for error
Cochlear: 1H solid - hearing is believing
Wesfarmers: Showing resilience
Best calls to action – Thursday, 16 February
CSL Ltd: 1H mixed - positive momentum, broadening portfolio
Coal producers: Capital management focus through February results
Aurizon Holdings: Some temporary impacts…temporary price decline?
Best calls to action – Wednesday, 15 February
Carsales.com: Multiple growth angles still in play
Endeavour Group: Getting back to normal
JB Hi-Fi: 1H23 earnings - Value through the cycle
Best calls to action – Tuesday, 14 February
REA Group: Listings outlook volatile but yield growth should help
AGL Energy: Time to rethink risk
Megaport Limited: Key drivers within management’s control
MAAS Group: Strong first half sees MGH back on track
Media - Integrated: Quick pulse check on volumes coming into results
Suncorp Group: Credible underneath
Amcor: Volumes trending lower
Consumer Discretionary: Web Traffic in 2022 - A Competitive Analysis
Transurban Group: An eventful half
Credit Corp: Investment steps up, profitability to follow
Flight Centre Travel: Expanding in high margin Luxury travel
Megaport Limited: Maximising gross profit growth for self funding status
Morgans Best Ideas: February 2023
January (20)
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Reporting Season Playbook - February 2023
Fortescue Metals Group: Q2 beats estimates
ResMed Inc: 2Q beat - solid sales performance across portfolio
Mineral Resources: Metal price strength carrying earnings
Woodside Energy: Share price starts to stretch valuation
Atlas Arteria: Arrival of Q4 data
Retail Strategy: Discretionary retail reporting season preview
Telstra Corporation: Some healthy options that are underappreciated
South32: Healthy quarter over headwinds
Stanmore Resources: Resilience pays
Whitehaven Coal: Focus on February 16 capital management
Endeavour Group: Going cashless?
Santos: Heavy cash flow generator
BHP Group: Beats headwinds for solid quarter
JB Hi-Fi: 1H23 pre-announcement - Don’t change the channel
Allkem: Solid 2Q and still plenty of upside
Rio Tinto: Solid Q4 and iron ore upgrade
Super Retail Group: 1H23 pre-announcement - Still super
Retail Sales: November 2022 - The Australian consumer hasn’t got the memo
Power: Renewables and regulation short circuit prices
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