Computershare (ASX:CPU) experienced a mixed performance in FY21, with management NPAT (US$284m) dipping approximately 7.5% compared to the prior corresponding period (pcp). However, the results remained broadly in line with Bloomberg Consensus (US$281m) and company guidance (-8%).

Performance Analysis

The FY21 results for Computershare can be characterized by strong performances in the Issuer Services and Employee Share Plans segments, counterbalanced by weaker results in Mortgage Services and Business Services. Despite these fluctuations, the company's FY22 EPS guidance fell slightly below expectations.

Forecast Adjustments

In light of the performance and guidance, adjustments have been made to the FY22F/FY23F EPS forecasts, reflecting a more conservative outlook on growth assumptions for the coming years.

Investment Insights

While Computershare maintains its status as a quality franchise, the current valuation reflects fair value, trading at approximately 24 times FY22F PE. As investors assess their positions, it's essential to consider the potential for growth in FY23 and beyond against the backdrop of the current market conditions.

In conclusion, Computershare's performance in FY21 presents a nuanced picture, with strengths and weaknesses across various business segments. While FY22 may see relatively flat growth, the outlook for FY23 suggests potential for stronger performance. As analysts recalibrate their forecasts and investors evaluate their positions, the long-term prospects of Computershare remain a focal point amidst evolving market dynamics.

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Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual's relevant personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents (“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser before doing so.

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FY21 management NPAT (US$284m) was down ~7.5% on pcp, but broadly in-line with Bloomberg Consensus (US$281m) and company guidance (-8%).
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