Research notes

BMC has received a positive Decision Document from the Government of Yukon for development of the ABM deposit at the Kudz Ze Kayah (KZK) Project. This represents the key de-risking milestone for KZK, addressing what has historically been the primary development headwind. We maintain our SPECULATIVE BUY rating and A$5.70ps price target (previously A$4.90), with the uplift driven by refreshed precious metals price assumptions and reduced permitting risk. The recent de-risking supports our assumption of future equity funding at 0.7x NAV (previously 0.6x NAV), resulting in lower dilution and a reduced forecast SOI.

A2M’s FY26 earnings downgrade was due to factors largely out of its own control, being higher freight/supply chain costs associated with the conflict in the Middle East and delays getting product released (enhanced testing and customs clearance) following peer recalls. Importantly, the demand for its products is strong. Guidance has been revised due to supply constraints (lower sales and product mix issues dilute margins) and higher costs. We have revised our forecasts. In our view, while some of the issues are one-off in nature, increased costs associated with the conflict are likely to continue into FY27. Despite this, we still expect strong growth in FY27 given A2 Pokeno is expected to break even and new China label (CL) IF products will be launched. Following material share price weakness, we upgrade to an ACCUMULATE recommendation with a new price target of A$8.70 (was A$9.50).

MVF has received a revised takeover proposal of 100% of shares from a consortium (Genesis Capital and Soul Patts) for $0.90 per share via Scheme of arrangement. This is up from the previous offer of $0.80 offer rejected in November 2025. The consortium has flagged this as the best and final offer (in absence of a competing bid) and is valid until 21 April 2026. As at 24 November 2025, the consortium held ~19.6% of ordinary shares on issue. We have made no changes to forecasts but have increased our target price in line with the offer price of $0.90. We have a SPECULATIVE BUY recommendation.

The Home Depot is the world’s largest home improvement retailer with operations in the US and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products.

SharkNinja (SN.NYS) is a US based, global consumer appliance company. The company operates two core and high-quality brands: 1) Shark – home care and cleaning products (vacuums/steam mops); and 2) Ninja – kitchen appliances (blenders/air fryers/food processors).

We have updated our 2H26 forecasts to reflect weather impacts in 3Q26, which we expect to have a modest effect on Onslow iron ore shipments, alongside minor increases to cost and capex assumptions driven by inflation in shipping and fuel. We have also incorporated our revised LT iron ore price of US$85/t (previously US$80/t). Net these changes our target price moves to A$67ps (previously A$68ps) and we move to an ACCUMULATE rating (previously BUY) as recent share price strength has reduced valuation upside.

GQG has provided a March FUM update. Whilst GQG monthly outflows remained negative (-US$1.2bn), they did improve significantly on the February and January levels (-US$3.2bn and -US$4.2bn respectively), albeit it was a more difficult month for investment performance (-~US$9bn) - in line with market volatility. We lower our GQG FY26F/FY27F EPS by -5%-8% based on the reduced FUM levels detailed in the quarterly. Our PT is set at A$1.92 (previously A$2.03). We continue to see medium-term value in GQG, but with less upside to our PT we move from BUY to ACCUMULATE.

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) is a leading multinational technology conglomerate headquartered in San Jose, California. The company has established itself as a dominant force in the digital communications landscape since its founding in 1984.

Alphabet Inc., known predominantly as the holding company of Google, is an American multinational technology conglomerate. The company offers a range of products and platforms, including Search, Google Maps, calendar, ads, Gmail, Google Play, Android, Google Cloud, Chrome and YouTube. Its hardware product range includes Pixel phones, smartwatches and Google Nest home products. Alphabet Inc. is also known for its online advertising services, internet services, and licensing and research & development services. The company is headquartered in California, US, but is present across the Americas, Europe and Asia-Pacific.