Investment Watch is a quarterly publication produced by Morgans that delves into key insights for equity and economic strategy.

This publication covers


Asset allocation -
Narratives change, cycles endure
Equity strategy - Managing through an uncertain backdrop
Fixed interest -
Future of the hybrid market
Economics -
Navigating higher rates and uncertainty
Banks -
AI: Sell-off trigger or enhanced bull case?
Industrials -
Volatility may throw up opportunities
Resources and energy -
Inflation protection and a geopolitical hedge
Software and online media -
De-rated, not defeated
Consumer discretionary -
Headwinds pick up
Healthcare -
Vital signs improving
Technology -
De-rated, and misunderstood
Travel -
Conflict a near-term headwind
Property -
Stymied by the up-shift in rates

The global economy enters Q2 2026 facing a new test: the Iran conflict has introduced a layer of geopolitical uncertainty that has elevated oil prices, sparked volatility, and raised questions about the investment outlook.

The situation remains fluid and the range of outcomes is wide, with meaningful tail risks that warrant close monitoring. That said, our base
case is that this disruption is unlikely to derail the broader positive macro backdrop, and history suggests geopolitical shocks to markets tend to be short-lived, even if the path is uneven. The more durable forces shaping portfolios in 2026 remain: the AI-driven earnings cycle, a global interest rate cycle still tilted lower, and double-digit earnings growth across major markets.


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Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual's relevant personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents (“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser before doing so.

News & Insights

The Iran oil blockade is squeezing global energy markets, and Australian investors are feeling it through higher oil prices. Two questions matter: how long will the disruption last, and how far could prices run?
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Inflation and rate hikes are back in focus, raising concerns about Australia’s economic outlook. Strong export prices and sustained energy demand suggest this cycle may play out differently.
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Market optimism, low stock levels and Middle East supply risks are shaping a slower path down for oil prices than many expect.
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