Investment Watch is a quarterly publication produced by Morgans that delves into key insights for equity and economic strategy.

This publication covers


Asset allocation -
Narratives change, cycles endure
Equity strategy - Managing through an uncertain backdrop
Fixed interest -
Future of the hybrid market
Economics -
Navigating higher rates and uncertainty
Banks -
AI: Sell-off trigger or enhanced bull case?
Industrials -
Volatility may throw up opportunities
Resources and energy -
Inflation protection and a geopolitical hedge
Software and online media -
De-rated, not defeated
Consumer discretionary -
Headwinds pick up
Healthcare -
Vital signs improving
Technology -
De-rated, and misunderstood
Travel -
Conflict a near-term headwind
Property -
Stymied by the up-shift in rates

The global economy enters Q2 2026 facing a new test: the Iran conflict has introduced a layer of geopolitical uncertainty that has elevated oil prices, sparked volatility, and raised questions about the investment outlook.

The situation remains fluid and the range of outcomes is wide, with meaningful tail risks that warrant close monitoring. That said, our base
case is that this disruption is unlikely to derail the broader positive macro backdrop, and history suggests geopolitical shocks to markets tend to be short-lived, even if the path is uneven. The more durable forces shaping portfolios in 2026 remain: the AI-driven earnings cycle, a global interest rate cycle still tilted lower, and double-digit earnings growth across major markets.


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Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited (AFSL 235410) as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual's relevant personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents (“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser before doing so.

News & Insights

Investment Watch is a quarterly publication delivering insights into equity strategy and economic trends. The Winter 2026 edition explores how the global economy enters Q3 2026 with the Iran conflict re-escalating, a reminder that the road to resolution is rarely straight. Markets have absorbed the renewed uncertainty better than many feared, reflecting the underlying resilience we have been backing all year.
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Michael Knox argues that oil prices could rise significantly because the global oil market is becoming increasingly undersupplied following disruptions linked to the US-Iran conflict
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Kevin Warsh outlines a bottom-up restructuring of the Federal Reserve, introducing five task forces and reshaping how the Fed approaches communication, data, and inflation.
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