Investment Watch is a quarterly publication delivering insights into equity strategy and economic trends. The Winter 2026 edition explores how the global economy enters Q3 2026 with the Iran conflict re-escalating, a reminder that the road to resolution is rarely straight. Markets have absorbed the renewed uncertainty better than many feared, reflecting the underlying resilience we have been backing all year.

Investment Watch is a quarterly publication produced by Morgans that delves into key insights for equity and economic strategy.

This edition arrives with the Iran conflict re-escalating, yet markets have absorbed the renewed uncertainty better than many feared. That resilience is why we stay the course. We see a strong second half for growth assets, powered by artificial intelligence, energy security and a global earnings cycle that keeps delivering.

The watchpoint is inflation. It is proving stickier than hoped, keeping interest rates higher for longer and rewarding investors who focus on income over speculation. We are optimistic, but clear eyed. The best returns in the second half will go to those who stay invested, stay diversified, and resist the temptation to sit on the sidelines.


Morgans clients receive exclusive insights such as access to our latest Investment Watch publication. Contact us today to begin your journey with Morgans.

      
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On 7 July the AFR published a list of 37 Economists who had answered a poll on when the RBA would next cut rates. 32 of them thought that the RBA would cut on 8 July. Only 5 of them did not believe the RBA would cut, Michael Knox being one of them.
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Economics and markets
January 30, 2026
11
July
2025
2025-07-11
min read
Jul 11, 2025
Investment Watch: Winter 2025 Outlook
Andrew Tang (AR: 001007335)
Andrew Tang (AR: 001007335)
Equity Strategist
Investment Watch is a quarterly publication for insights in equity and economic strategy. Recent months have been marked by sharp swings in market sentiment, driven by shifting global trade dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and policy uncertainty.
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Economics and markets
Asset Management
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Michael Knox, Chief Economist, reveals how the OECD and RBA’s outdated assumptions about global trade fail to account for China’s Marxist-Leninist economic strategies.
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