Economics and markets
"Our model tells us that on this occasion President Trump should be victorious over Biden by a margin of 5.76% of the popular vote. The predictive margin is 1.26 standard errors away from random. President Trump therefore has an 89.6% chance of being re-elected."
Listen to my podcast to find out where this data comes from. I also outline the stats prior to when Barack Obama was re-elected:
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