Research notes
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Research Notes
International Spotlight
Shell PLC
February 16, 2026
Shell PLC, previously Royal Dutch Shell PLC, is a British multinational integrated oil and gas company with headquarters in London and operations in over 70 countries. Shell operates across five divisions: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, Renewables and Energy Solutions.
International Spotlight
Meta Platforms
February 16, 2026
Meta Platforms, Inc. (formerly known as Facebook, Inc.) is a leading global technology platform business headquartered in Menlo Park, California, US. Co-founded in 2004 by Mark Zuckerberg, Meta's mission is to connect people and build community through its innovative technology portfolio and social networking platforms.
International Spotlight
Apple, Inc.
February 16, 2026
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories.
International Spotlight
Walt Disney Company
February 16, 2026
The Walt Disney Co. operates as a global entertainment company. It owns and operates television and radio production, distribution and broadcasting stations, direct-to-consumer (DTC) services, amusement parks, cruise lines and hotels. It operates through the following business lines: Disney Entertainment, ESPN, and Disney Parks, Experiences, and Products. The company was founded by Walter Elias Disney on 16 October 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, California.
International Spotlight
Richemont
February 16, 2026
Nexa delays, now 2H decisive
Cochlear
February 15, 2026
The 1H26 result was softer than expected, with revenue, margins and profit negatively impacted mainly on longer than anticipated contracting for the newly launched Nucleus Nexa system (Nexa). Soft Cochlear Implants (CI) growth mis-matched sales, reflecting unfavourable emerging market mix and delayed developed market momentum, while Services was flat and Acoustics surprised to downside on increased competitive pressures. While Nexa adoption accelerated late in the half and management maintained FY26 guidance, but now is targeting the lower end of the range, it increases reliance on a strong 2H recovery which appears optimistic, especially in light of flat GM and FX headwinds. We adjust our FY26-28 estimates and lower our target price to A$214.93. We maintain a cautious stance, but move to HOLD on share weakness.
Updating our outlook
Deep Yellow
February 15, 2026
We update our outlook and forecasts for DYL to reflect a series of changes at the corporate, project and macro level since our last update. Key revisions include adjustments to first production timing at Tumas, cash position and an uplift to our bull-case uranium price assumption. We maintain our SPECULATIVE BUY rating and increase our price target to A$2.56ps (from A$1.92ps).
No bids + downgrade = turbulence
Webjet Group Limited
February 15, 2026
WJL announced that potential takeover discussions with both Helloworld (HLO) and BGH Capital have ceased. WJL has downgraded its FY26 EBITDA guidance by another 7-9%. Earnings uncertainty remains high given cyclical and structural threats and at a time when WJL is investing in its business for longer term success. Given WJL is no longer in play, focus returns to the fundamentals of the business which look challenged in the near term. We retain a Hold rating with a new price target of A$0.61.
1Q26: No growth (it’s coming) but still a beat
Westpac Banking Corp
February 14, 2026
A largely stable 1Q26 result compared to the 2H25 quarterly average (normalised for 2H25’s restructuring charge), which is better than 1H26 expectations. We are assuming a more bullish loan growth and impairments outlook than previously (and slightly more conservative costs). There is no change to FY26F EPS but there are 5-8% upgrades to FY27-28F. Target price lifts to $35.12/sh. We upgrade to TRIM given the improved, but still negative, potential TSR.
Funding headwinds appear manageable
Dexus Industria REIT
February 13, 2026
DXI continues to deliver strong operational results, with fixed/CPI rent escalators providing visibility for medium-term earnings growth, despite a normalisation in some industrial markets. The balance sheet is a key differentiator, with gearing below the target range, and no near-term debt maturities, DXI is afforded the flexibility to pursue value-accretive developments such as the Jandakot. Whilst these factors underpin DXI’s ability to grow income organically and recycle into higher-quality industrial assets, the current interest rate environment is likely to cap near-term valuation momentum across the A-REIT sector. On balance, DXI’s secure income, development-led value creation, and a 26% discount to NTA justify a stance more constructive than Hold, but rate-driven macro constraints prevent a Buy; we therefore retain an ACCUMULATE rating with a $2.80 price target.
News & insights
February 12, 2026
February 12, 2026
min read
Succession Planning in 2026: The ATO, Baby Boomers & the Wealth Transfer Tax
Morgans
Opinion
February 10, 2026
February 10, 2026
min read
Kevin Warsh’s Plan to Lower Rates and the US Dollar Safely
Michael Knox
Chief Economist and Director of Strategy
Michael Knox explains how incoming Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh could lower the fed funds rate and weaken the US dollar without fuelling inflation. Warsh’s experience during the Global Financial Crisis shapes his belief that a long period of quantitative tightening can offset rate cuts and remove the moral hazard created by quantitative easing.
February 4, 2026
February 4, 2026
min read
Why Australia Is Likely Facing More Rate Hikes Than Expected
Michael Knox
Chief Economist and Director of Strategy


