Research notes

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Research Notes

1Q27 result: Never Never physicals the watch point

Ramelius Resources
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
RMS has released its 1Q27 quarterly report: 48.8koz at an AISC of A$2,656/oz, with cash and gold up A$118m QoQ to A$768m and underlying FCF of A$62m. >Production was impacted by wet weather interrupting haulage from Penny, deferring higher-grade ore into 2Q27. Never Never grade was lower but in line with RMS's mine sequencing, with tonnes and grade the key watch point as the year progresses. FY27 guidance was reaffirmed. >We maintain our BUY rating with a price target of A$5.18ps (previously A$5.02ps).

Strong operations offset by soft pricing

PLS Group
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
1Q27 production and costs beat expectations, but a 15kt shipment delayed into October and weaker pricing led to a -12%/-6% revenue miss vs MorgansF/consensus. >FY27 production and cost guidance are unchanged, while capex guidance has been revised to A$1,130-1,195m to include P2000, enhancing infrastructure and the newly announced Fortescue PPA, which is expected to lower P2000 unit costs by a further ~A$15-20/t. >Maintain ACCUMULATE with A$3.60ps target price (previously A$3.70ps).

International Spotlight

Freeport McMoRan
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is an American based miner that is heavily focused on copper mining and produces gold and molybdenum as by-products to its copper production. FCX owns significant interests in three out of seven of the largest copper mines in the world by-production, the Grasberg Minerals district in Indonesia, the Morenci mine in Arizona, and the Cerro Verde mine in Peru. Indonesia is the largest source of FCX’s revenue. The Grasberg district in Indonesia is the second largest copper mine in the world and the largest gold mine, despite gold being produced as a by-product. Additionally, it is one of the lowest cost mines in the world due to the high grades of copper and gold produced. FCX operates seven open pit copper mines in North America and two copper mines in South America.

International spotlight

LVMH
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE is a multinational luxury group conglomerate based in Paris, France. It operates five business segments: Wines and Spirits; Fashion and Leather Goods; Perfume and Cosmetics; Watches & Jewelry; and Selective Retailing. Its 75 brands include Dom Pérignon, Moët & Chandon, Veuve Clicquot, Hennessy, Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Givenchy, Acqua di Parma, Tiffany & Co, TAG Heuer, Bulgari, DFS, and Sephora. LVMH operates around 6,300 stores worldwide. LVMH was formed by Bernard Arnault, Alain Chevalier and Henry Racamier in 1987 from the merger of Louis Vuitton and Moët Hennessy. Louis Vuitton itself was founded as a manufacturer of luggage in 1854. Moët Hennessy was formed in 1971 through the merger of the champagne house Moët & Chandon (founded 1743) and the cognac producer Hennessy (founded 1765). Some of LVMH’s more recent major acquisitions include Tiffany & Co. in 2020, Rimowa in 2016 and Loro Piana in 2013.

International Spotlight

Space Exploration Technologies
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) designs, manufactures, and launches rockets and spacecraft, operates a global satellite broadband network through its Starlink service, and following the February 2026 acquisition of xAI, develops artificial intelligence products including the Grok model and associated computing infrastructure. Founded in 2002 by Elon Musk, SpaceX's stated mission is to reduce the cost of space transportation and ultimately make humanity multi planetary. Its customers span commercial satellite operators, government and defence agencies, and individual consumers and enterprises subscribing to Starlink broadband across more than 160 countries.

International Spotlight

ASML Holding NV
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
ASML is the world’s leading supplier of advanced lithography systems used in the manufacturing of semiconductors, with a dominant position in deep ultraviolet (DUV) and an effective monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology. The company’s systems are critical to the production of sophisticated microchips. ASML’s product portfolio includes High-NA EUV and Low-NA EUV lithography systems, ArF immersion, KrF and i-line DUV systems for both advanced and mature nodes, advanced packaging lithography, and metrology, inspection, and computational lithography solutions that optimise yield and productivity. Its customers are global semiconductor foundries, logic and memory manufacturers (e.g., TSMC/Samsung/Intel), supported by long-term relationships, high switching costs and a growing installed base that underpins recurring service revenue. Headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, ASML was founded in 1984 and is listed on Euronext Amsterdam and NASDAQ.

International Spotlight

Meta Platforms
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
Meta Platforms, Inc. (formerly known as Facebook, Inc.) is a leading global technology platform business headquartered in Menlo Park, California, US. Co-founded in 2004 by Mark Zuckerberg, Meta's mission is to connect people and build community through its innovative technology portfolio and social networking platforms.

Site visit: NSW’s next critical minerals mine

Sky Metals
3:27pm
October 28, 2026
We recently visited SKY’s Tallebung tin-tungsten-silver project ~70km north-west of Condobolin in central-western NSW. >Our key takeaways: the site is accessible and heavily disturbed by more than a century of mining, with obvious geology (coarse cassiterite visible from surface). We see the brownfield footprint as supportive of permitting and SKY’s path to first production in mid-CY28. >We maintain our SPECULATIVE BUY rating with a A$0.47ps target price (from A$0.40), incorporating changes to our price deck and mining assumptions.

1Q27: mixed quarter, guidance unchanged and cash flow remains strong

Sandfire Resources
3:27pm
October 27, 2026
SFR’s 1Q27 result was softer than expectations but overall in-line with guidance. >Group CuEq was -3%/-7% vs consensus/MorgansF and underlying EBITDA was -13%/-11% vs consensus/MorgansF, largely driven by lower than expected zinc volumes out of MATSA. >The quarter still ran exactly at the FY27 guidance midpoint run-rate (25% of CuEq). Production, cost and capex guidance were all maintained. >Net cash of US$342m was down only US$11m qoq, after paying a US$117m fully franked dividend that was largely funded from quarterly free cash flow. >Upgrade to BUY following recent share price weakness with an unchanged A$23ps target price.

International Spotlight

Nike Inc
3:27pm
October 27, 2026
Nike, Inc. is a global leader in athletic footwear, apparel and equipment with an estimated market share in 2023 of 39% (investing.com). Nike’s iconic ‘Swoosh’ logo is one of the most recognisable consumer brands in the world. Nike sells directly through over 1,000 retail stores and ecommerce platforms, as well as through wholesale channels. It employs a contract manufacturing model.

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