Investment Watch: Winter 2026 Outlook
Investment Watch is a quarterly publication delivering insights into equity strategy and economic trends. The Winter 2026 edition explores how the global economy enters Q3 2026 with the Iran conflict re-escalating, a reminder that the road to resolution is rarely straight. Markets have absorbed the renewed uncertainty better than many feared, reflecting the underlying resilience we have been backing all year.
Investment Watch is a quarterly publication produced by Morgans that delves into key insights for equity and economic strategy.
This publication covers
Asset allocation - From peace deal to re-escalation: staying the course
Equity strategy - Resources and energy doing the heavy lifting
Economics - Why falling oil prices won’t stop Australian rate hikes
Banks - Correcting, but still clouded
Income - What are “Alternative” investments?
Industrials - Volatility may throw up opportunities
Resources - Compelling inflation hedge
Energy - Staying neutral
Software and online media - An entry point for patient capital
Technology - Australia’s AI infrastructure moment: Why capital is looking south
Consumer discretionary - Headwinds pick up
Healthcare - Defensive with upside
Agriculture, food & beverage - El Niño watch
Travel - Downgrades done, focus on the recovery
Property - Not yet
The global economy enters Q3 2026 with the Iran conflict re-escalating, a reminder that the road to resolution is rarely straight. Markets have absorbed the renewed uncertainty better than many feared, reflecting the underlying resilience we have been backing all year. The more durable legacy of the conflict is the inflation it has embedded in the system, which has shifted the global interest rate picture: the Fed is now on hold, several central banks are leaning toward rate rises, and the RBA’s tightening cycle has further to run. Against that backdrop, the positive forces we have been backing remain intact - the AI-driven earnings cycle is broadening beyond mega-cap technology, and double-digit earnings growth across major markets continues. The task for Q3 is to hold our positioning through the noise, keep riding these structural tailwinds, and build portfolios that can generate real income in a world where rates are no longer falling.
Morgans clients receive exclusive insights such as access to our latest Investment Watch publication. Contact us today to begin your journey with Morgans.






