Investment Watch is a quarterly publication delivering insights into equity strategy and economic trends. The Autumn 2026 edition explores how investors can position portfolios amid shifting market conditions, unpacking key themes shaping asset allocation, equity markets and sector performance.

Investment Watch is a quarterly publication produced by Morgans that delves into key insights for equity and economic strategy.

This publication covers


Asset allocation -
Narratives change, cycles endure
Equity strategy - Managing through an uncertain backdrop
Fixed interest -
Future of the hybrid market
Economics -
Navigating higher rates and uncertainty
Banks -
AI: Sell-off trigger or enhanced bull case?
Industrials -
Volatility may throw up opportunities
Resources and energy -
Inflation protection and a geopolitical hedge
Software and online media -
De-rated, not defeated
Consumer discretionary -
Headwinds pick up
Healthcare -
Vital signs improving
Technology -
De-rated, and misunderstood
Travel -
Conflict a near-term headwind
Property -
Stymied by the up-shift in rates

The global economy enters Q2 2026 facing a new test: the Iran conflict has introduced a layer of geopolitical uncertainty that has elevated oil prices, sparked volatility, and raised questions about the investment outlook.

The situation remains fluid and the range of outcomes is wide, with meaningful tail risks that warrant close monitoring. That said, our base
case is that this disruption is unlikely to derail the broader positive macro backdrop, and history suggests geopolitical shocks to markets tend to be short-lived, even if the path is uneven. The more durable forces shaping portfolios in 2026 remain: the AI-driven earnings cycle, a global interest rate cycle still tilted lower, and double-digit earnings growth across major markets.


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January 30, 2026
16
December
2024
2024-12-16
min read
Dec 16, 2024
Investment Watch: Summer 2025 Outlook
Andrew Tang
Andrew Tang
Equity Strategist
Investment Watch is a flagship product that brings together our analysts' view of economic and investment strategy themes, sector outlooks and best stock ideas for our clients.
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Economics and markets
Asset Management
January 30, 2026
2
December
2024
2024-12-02
min read
Dec 02, 2024
The Month Ahead
Alexander Mees
Alexander Mees
Head of Research
This edition of the Month Ahead presents ideas from three areas of focus for Morgans: domestic equities, ETFs and global equities. We take a look at the opportunities presented by Light & Wonder, the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund and Eli Lilly.
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Research
January 30, 2026
22
November
2024
2024-11-22
min read
Nov 22, 2024
The DOGE Plan to Reform Government
Michael Knox
Michael Knox
Chief Economist and Director of Strategy
We've discussed the US budget deficit and its rising debt. Now, we’ll revisit the issue and explore how Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy are tackling it with their Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).
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Economics and markets
The process I follow begins with reviewing the outlook from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), then I run my models, and currently, I'm at the beginning of that process. I thought I'd share the IMF's base case outlook and where I might adjust it based on my models.
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January 30, 2026
13
November
2024
2024-11-13
min read
Nov 13, 2024
Cutting US Corporate Taxes & Deficit
Michael Knox
Michael Knox
Chief Economist and Director of Strategy
J. Powell has stated that while the current level of US government debt is sustainable, the trajectory of that debt is not. This comment has sparked a discussion on how the Trump presidency, with its emphasis on cutting corporate taxes, will impact the US budget deficit.
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January 30, 2026
8
November
2024
2024-11-08
min read
Nov 08, 2024
How Low Can the Fed Go?
Michael Knox
Michael Knox
Chief Economist and Director of Strategy
The easiest way to understand what central banks are doing is to look at employment growth. Let's look at what’s been happening this week and why the Reserve Bank of Australia held rates where they were.
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