Economics and markets

Michael Knox dives into the robust U.S. economy, the effects of proposed tariffs on inflation and Federal Reserve decisions, and how tariff funds and corporate tax reductions could boost job growth and stock market performance in 2026, though markets may stabilise in the short term.

In this extensive breakdown, Michael Knox discusses everything across the broad economic spectrum, including tariffs, commodities and much more.

Andrew Tang, Analyst, Equity Strategy, breaks down the importance of upgrading portfolio quality and identifying stocks with long-term growth potential.

Investment Watch is a quarterly publication for insights in equity and economic strategy. US President Donald Trump’s “liberation day” tariffs have rattled global markets. Since the pronouncement, most global indices have been down by over 10%.

Michael addresses President Trump's decision to introduce reciprocal tariffs to address high foreign tariffs on U.S. goods. Learn how this policy aims to balance trade and reduce the U.S. budget deficit, impacting countries like China, the EU, Vietnam, and Australia.

Michael explores the implications for future generations and whether the government's economic strategies are sustainable.

The start of an easing cycle is upon us, but the path forward remains unclear, much like the post-pandemic economy.

Michael Knox discusses the challenges the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) faces in cutting rates. He explores a model of Australian short-term interest rates, and how its components interact.

Investment Watch is a flagship product that brings together our analysts' view of economic and investment strategy themes, sector outlooks and best stock ideas for our clients.

We've discussed the US budget deficit and its rising debt. Now, we’ll revisit the issue and explore how Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy are tackling it with their Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

US Factory building boom keeps growth strong, but falling inflation means big Fed rate cuts still ahead.

Explore key trends and opportunities in the spring 2024 investment outlook to refine your portfolio.

Insights into the factors driving the recent surge in commodity prices and potential market effects.

Overall, it proved to be a strong reporting season across the board, with most company results meeting or beating expectations. Our focus remains on several standout picks: QBE, SUN, and CGF.

Understand the Federal Reserve's next steps and their potential impact on global markets.

Uncover the best consumer discretionary stocks from the reporting season, focusing on growth and value opportunities.

Analyse how slowing US employment growth gives the Federal Reserve room to adjust monetary policies.

Our 'Best Calls to Action' include IDP Education, Airtasker, Alliance Aviation Services, Ai-Media Technologies, Wesfarmers, and Tabcorp Holdings.

Today’s top stock picks, including NEXTDC, Flight Centre Travel, Karoon Energy, Mach7 Technologies, Camplify Holdings, and APA Group.

Our 'Best Calls to Action' highlights today’s top stock picks, including BHP, Lovisa, Woodside Energy, Worley, Coles Group, Guzman y Gomez, and Helloworld.

Our 'Best Calls to Action' highlights today’s top stock picks, including Regal Partners, Dalrymple Bay Infra., Tyro Payments, Stanmore Resources, and Tasmea.

Our top stock picks include MA Financial Group, Inghams, Clinuvel Pharma., Jumbo Interactive, Wagners, VEEM, Accent Group, and Cedar Woods Prop.

Our 'Best Calls to Action' highlights today’s top stock picks, including The Lottery Corporation, Superloop, Hotel Property Investments, MAAS Group, IMDEX, Step One Clothing, Ebos Group, and Cleanaway Waste Management.

Our 'Best Calls to Action' highlights today’s top stock picks, including Reliance Worldwide, Judo Capital Holdings, Ansell, and Baby Bunting Group.

Our ‘Best Calls to Action’ are designed to guide you through the current investment landscape by highlighting stocks with compelling buying prospects. It also provides insights into those that may not be viable for growth at this time. These selections are based on rigorous analysis of market trends, financial health, and growth potential, ensuring you have access to high-value investment opportunities.

Discover actionable stock recommendations and market insights from Morgans' top picks for 16 August 2024.

Explore actionable stock picks for 14 August 2024, featuring Morgans' expert market recommendations.

Porsha Papas, Morgans Financial Adviser, suggests the New Financial Year is the perfect time to re-evaluate and rejuvenate Financial Health.

Understand winter 2024 market trends and opportunities with Morgans' strategic investment insights.

Explore the science behind successful adviser-client relationships and their impact on your wealth.

Explore how local support networks empower women entrepreneurs to thrive in business.

Seeking financial advice may initially come with a cost, but the long-term benefits can make a significant impact on your financial wellbeing. According to many studies, investors who received advice over four to six years accumulated 60% more assets compared to those who did not seek advice.

Addressing estate planning complexities for blended families to ensure fairness and financial security.

Explore the effects of divorce on women's financial positions and shed light on the various challenges they encounter.

Understand financial priorities and strategies tailored for women to achieve independence, security, and long-term wealth.

Angel investing has traditionally been a male-dominated industry. However, women are starting to make their mark in this field, and they are not only investing in established businesses, but they are also supporting young entrepreneurs.

Analyse the challenges of affordable housing and its impact on vulnerable communities in Australia.

Learn the essentials of superannuation, its benefits, and how it helps secure your financial future in retirement.

The Federal Budget was released on Tuesday 14 May 2024, let's understand how these changes will impact Australians.

It can be argued that a little bit of inflation is a good thing, it rewards productivity and provides the incentive to save and invest, but perversely high inflation erodes purchasing power without adding value. When entrenched in a feedback loop, inflation ‘degrades’ the capacity of a ‘cash-savings-strategy’ to finance* investment. (*e.g. saving a deposit for a home).

Discover why a balanced budget of 0.3% GDP offers stability and economic growth potential.

Insights into the Federal Budget 2024-25, its limited impact on earnings, inflation, and implications for investors.

Plan your investments with Morgans' autumn 2024 outlook, offering insights for strategic growth.

Understand February 2024's Australian retail sales and their implications for market trends and investments.

Morgans research analysts re-set their sector views, strategies and best ideas as dynamic forces continue to challenge markets.

Recent months have seen some mixed economic data but we are seeing clearer guidance from central banks.

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox uses the Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator to model the US economy and explain why there is no incoming US Recession.

Following the Federal Reserve's latest two-day monetary policy meeting, Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says, "yes the FED rates will fall, but only so far."

Understand the Reserve Bank's focus on stability and its implications for Australia's economy.

Today, Wednesday the 22nd of February, we are happy to buy Coles Group (ASX:COL), SEEK Limited (ASX:SEK), HUB24 Ltd (ASX:HUB) Monash IVF Group (ASX:MVF), and Peter Warren (ASX:PWR).

Exploring the differences between the COVID-19 pandemic's economic impact and the Global Financial Crisis.

February results were slightly better than expected, particularly among large-cap leaders, which should give investors some comfort amidst the ongoing volatility.

Roughly 55% of the ASX300 have now reported results, with only a handful of the ASX50 yet to report.

Understand the Federal Reserve's goals and how its policies shape the economy and investment landscape.

Understand Australia's sector outlooks and preferred stock picks with Morgans' expert strategy.

Examination of the federal budget's key components and their implications for the economy and public services.

FY17 reporting season kicks off in earnest mid-August and according to the latest IBES consensus earnings estimates, EPS growth for the S&P/ASX200 is forecast at 13% in FY17, slightly down from 13.6% at the end of 1H17.

Equity markets remain at the mercy of abnormal macro-economic conditions such as unconventional central bank interest rate settings and heightened political uncertainty.

Morgans research analysts re-set their sector views, strategies and best ideas as dynamic forces continue to challenge markets.

The Reserve Bank maintains the cash rate at 4.10%, analyzing the decision's impact on the economy and borrowers.

The US economy has remained resilient supported by robust job gains and consumer spending. The Fed’s aggressive rate hikes will slow the economy and lead to a slowdown into year-end.

Morgans research analysts re-set their sector views, strategies and best ideas as unfolding forces challenge investors.

A strategic look at asset allocation for Q3 2023, with insights to optimize your portfolio in a changing market.

The 2023-24 Budget largely follows those that have gone before, taking a small step toward balance sheet repair but generally favouring fiscal expansion.

Our Asset Allocation update – 2023 Outlook details our recommended 17% exposure to international equities for investors with a Balanced risk profile.

This quarter we take a cautious tilt: overweight cash, underweight developed market (DM) stocks and neutral fixed interest/Australian equities.

A comprehensive review of the February 2024 reporting season, covering key financial results and market takeaways.

Heading into February results, we examine key strategic themes across earnings trends, the cyclicals rotation, yield security, rising AUD impacts and resources.